June 24,
2008: The Hamas truce is not expected to
last. In the year that Hamas has controlled Gaza, their violence has left 400
Palestinians (half killed by Hamas and other Palestinians) and seven Israelis
dead. There are over a dozen violent and independent-minded terrorist groups in
Gaza, and Hamas cannot control all of them. Palestinians have a terrible track
record with truces, and controlling their factions. The current truce with
Hamas is not expected to survive more than a few weeks. The Israelis went along
with it as a courtesy to Egypt, and in the hope that the inability of Hamas to
maintain its end of the truce, would convince Egypt to be more effective in
stopping the weapons smuggling from Egypt into Gaza.
In
Lebanon, the government continues seeking those who aided the killing of
Palestinian terrorists in the past. Recently a retired Lebanese policeman and a
Palestinian man were indicted for helping Israel kill a Palestinian terrorist six
years ago. The retired policeman is accused of participating in two similar
operations. Israel has long had a network of agents in Lebanon, where many
locals resent the presence of Palestinian and Iranian-backed terrorists
organizations, and are willing to risk their lives to aid Israel in killing
terrorist leaders. Israel also pays well, and will, when possible, get agents
and their families out of Lebanon. There are several thousand such Lebanese
living in Israel.
Israel
believes that, despite the presence of UN peacekeepers in southern Lebanon, Hizbollah
has smuggled thousands of short range (6-20 kilometers) rockets into the area
and hidden them in anticipation of another attack on Israel. If that happens,
Hizbollah expects the peacekeepers to stand aside, as they did in 2006, once
Hizbollah gunmen show up. The peacekeepers did not crack down on Hizbollah smuggling
the rockets south and burying them or hiding them in basements. Hizbollah
terrorized the peacekeepers with a few deadly attacks on them. The UN
protested, Hizbollah quietly let it be known that more peacekeepers would die
unless Hizbollah smuggling of weapons south was ignored by the peacekeepers.
In
northern Lebanon, fighting between Sunni and Shia militiamen died down as the
army moved in to keep the peace. About ten died and over fifty were wounded in
three days of violence. There are dozens of armed factions in Lebanon, most
based on religion (many different sects of Christians and Moslems). The
majority of these factions are united in their opposition to Iranian backed
Hizbollah (the largest Shia faction) gaining more power. But Hizbollah is a powerful
bully, and is getting away with it.
June 23,
2008: On the West Bank, Israel removed
another ten roadblocks. In the last few months, over a hundred of these
roadblocks have been removed, as part of a deal with Fatah to bring peace to
the area. There are still several hundred roadblocks, which are used to hinder
the movement of terrorists intent on carrying out attacks inside Israel. Such
tactics have reduced such terror attacks over 98 percent in the last five
years.
In the
Gaza, a Palestinian mortar shell was fired into southern Israel. This was the
first such violation of the six month truce that began on the 20th.
June 22,
2008: In the northern Lebanon city of
Tripoli, fighting between Sunni and Shia militias broke out, causing several
dozen casualties.
June 21,
2008: U.S. officials revealed that
Israel has conducted a large air force exercise (over a hundred F-16s, F15s and
support aircraft) that flew way out over the Mediterranean, in what appeared to
be a rehearsal for an air strike on Iranian nuclear facilities. Israel said
nothing about the exercise.
Hamas officials
admitted that they would not try to stop the smuggling, usually via tunnels or nighttime
drops from boats off shore. These smuggling efforts are bringing in the new
weapons that Hamas is receiving from Iran. Israel protested to Egypt, pointing
out that the truce deal included a halt to all this smuggling.
June 20,
2008: In the hours before the six month
truce with Hamas began, Palestinians fired 40 rockets and ten mortar shells
from Gaza. Israel conducted another air strike as well, against terrorist
leaders.
June 18,
2008: Israel and Hamas agreed to a six
month truce, beginning on the 20th. This was done in cooperation
with Egypt, which brokered the deal.