May 19,2008:
Egyptian sponsored peace talks
between Israel and Palestinians are stalled over Israel's counter-terror
tactics. Israel constantly raids the West Bank and Gaza to capture or kill key
terrorist personnel. In addition, the security wall between the West Bank and
Israel is two-thirds complete, and responsible for stopping many Palestinian
suicide bombings. The Israeli counter-terror campaign has worked, with
successful Palestinian suicide attacks in Israel down from 59 in 2002 (the
peak) to one last year. Israel believes that halting the raids, and tearing
down the security wall, would cause an increase of the suicide attacks inside
Israel. The Palestinians say they can stop the attacks in return for a halt to
the Israeli counter-terror efforts. Israel does not believe the Palestinians
can stop the terrorism, because there are too many terrorist factions that
listen to no one.
May 18,
2008: Hamas has started to censor Internet
access within Gaza. Web sites Hamas considered "un-Islamic" will be blocked.
Hamas did not say precisely which sites will be blocked, and will probably make
it up as they go along.
May 17,
2008: Representatives from Hizbollah,
the Lebanese government and various factions met in Qatar to try and resolve
the political problem in Lebanon (Iranian backed Hizbollah wants all efforts
directed at the destruction of Israel, and no interference with the Hizbollah "state
within a state." Most Lebanese want the Hizbollah militia disbanded.) The Arab
League arranged these talks, after the fighting in and around Beirut caused
about 300 casualties. Arab states were pretty unanimous in condemning
Hizbollah, which they see as the puppet of non-Arab Iran (the same Iran that
scares the hell out of the Persian Gulf Arabs). Then there is the religious
divide, as conservative Sunni Arabs believe Shia Moslems (especially Hizbollah
and Iran) are heretics and deserve death if they don't convert to Sunni
religious practices. Meanwhile, the recent Beirut fighting shows that Hizbollah
isn't afraid of restarting the civil war that tore the country apart in
1975-90. The other factions in Lebanon, who are the majority, do not want
another civil war. The country took nearly two decades to rebuild, and they don't
want to lose it all again. But Hizbollah seems determined to bring on war with
Israel. This would be less destructive than another civil war, and might
destroy Hizbollah (or weaken it to the point that the remnants could be taken
care of without a destructive civil war). No one wants to come out and say
that, but that's the logic of the situation. Everyone says they want a decent
deal for the Palestinians, but most Lebanese do not like the Palestinians, and
mainly want them out of Lebanon.
May 15,
2008: So far this year, Hamas has fired
over 2,000 rockets and mortar shells into Israel, more than were fired in all
of 2007.
May 13,
2008: The Palestinian war against
Israel, going on since 2000, has caused permanent loss of over 70,000
Palestinian jobs inside Israel, because replacement workers have been imported
from India, Nepal, Sri Lanka and the Philippines. Israelis are happy with these
workers, and many don't want to replace them with Palestinians.
May 12,
2008: A Palestinian Kassam rocket from
Gaza landed in an Israeli village and killed a woman.
May 11,
2008: Egypt opened its border to Gaza
Palestinians for three days so sick and wounded people could seek treatment in
Egypt. Hamas shut down the only power plant in Gaza, shutting down many
businesses. Hamas said it had to do it because Israel cut fuel supplies. Israel
denies this, and accuses Hamas of lying and shutting off the power to generate
diplomatic and media pressure against Israel. Some of the fuel shipments are
delayed because Hamas fires mortar shells at the gate where the fuel supplies
enter Gaza.
May 10,
2008: In Lebanon, Hizbollah gunmen took
control of west Beirut, driving away Sunni Arab militiamen who tried to oppose
them. Hizbollah was doing this to protest government attempts to shut down a
private Hizbollah phone system, and remove the pro-Hizbollah security manager
of the Beirut airport. Hizbollah had set up surveillance cameras at the airport
to monitor operations. The phone system and airport surveillance have been
going on for years, and the government came under pressure from politicians to
shut down perceived Hizbollah attempts to maintain a separate government. The
subsequent fighting in Beirut proved that Hizbollah fighters were better
organized and more effective that anyone else's. The government ordered the
army to intervene, but the army refused, mainly because about half the soldiers
are Shia and most of those are pro-Hizbollah. There was a downside to all this
for Hizbollah, as their Christian and Druze allies were upset with all the
violence, and have backed away from their alliance with Hizbollah. These
alliances arose in the wake of the 1975-90 civil war, which was mainly
Christian (many factions) versus Moslem (Sunnis, Druze and several Shia
factions). Shia are about 40 percent of the population, Christians another 40
percent and Sunni and Druze about 20 percent. Hizbollah retains the loyalty of
the Shia factions, but is driving all their Sunni, Druze and Christian allies
into an anti-Hizbollah movement.
May 9,
2008: A Hamas mortar shell landed inside
Israel, killing an Israeli.