July 27, 2007:
Much to Iran's
annoyance, the U.S. is cracking down on financial institutions that moves money
to terrorist organizations Iran supports. This includes Hizbollah and Hamas.
The U.S. has ramped up its intelligence effort to discover who is paying who,
and is ordering banks to cease providing services to terrorist related
organizations, or face being cut off from the American banking system. Iran has
to scramble to find banks that do not fear U.S. banking sanctions, and is
discovering that this is not easy. The banks under scrutiny do not want to
offend the U.S., partly because access to the American, and international,
financial markets is essential for making a profit, and because everyone knows
these banks are involved in all manner of questionable activities (like moving
cash for bribe taking officials or criminals). The more they are investigated
by American operatives, the more vulnerable the banks, and their clients,
become.
July 26, 2007: The government
has given Iraq an Airbus 300. The twenty year old aircraft is identical
to the one shot down by a U.S. warship in 1988. The last of 821 Airbus 300s was
manufactured this year. The 165 ton aircraft has two engines and can carry up
to 266 passengers. But Iraq will use it to transport government officials,
particularly the prime minister (a Shia Arab).
July 25, 2007: The U.S. is
trying, without much success, to get China to stop Chinese companies from
shipping special metals and electronic components to Iran. These "dual
use" materials are used to build nuclear weapons and high tech
weapons. Chinese exports of these items are up more than fifty percent
compared to last year.
July 24, 2007: The government
has ordered the lifestyle police to put more pressure on young men and women
who do not dress according to "Islamic standards." The lifestyle
police are allowed to decide for themselves who doesn't look right. Punishment
can range from a verbal reprimand, to a beating on the spot, to imprisonment
and torture. The lifestyle police tend to be country boys, and their victims
tend to be city kids trying to be hip.
July 23, 2007: The government
continues to have problems paying Russian nuclear power plant contractors the
$25 million a month stipulated in their contract. As a result, the Russians
continue to stop work when the money is not delivered on time. At this point,
the opening of Iran's first nuclear power plant will be delayed until late
2008. The government is having cash flow problems, despite record oil prices
and oil shipments. The Iranian economy is a mess, and much government income is
spent on payments to the ten percent of the population that remains armed, and
loyal, to the religious dictatorship.
July 21, 2007: A recent
opinion survey showed that 58 percent of Iranians would support a foreign
invasion to overthrow the current religious dictatorship. However, nearly 70
percent would prefer a popular, but non-violent, revolution, like the one that
tossed out European communist dictatorships in 1989-90. Worse, 92 percent do
not approve of how their government operates. Only eleven percent oppose
democracy, and 72 percent did not support the "Islamic Revolution"
that has dominated the country for 28 years. Still, most Iranians are not
willing to fight, knowing that the minority of Iranians who do support the
government are armed and willing to kill Iranians that oppose them. The
survey also showed that 78 percent of Iranians believe the country should have
nuclear power, but only 46 percent believed they should have nuclear weapons.
Interestingly, 52 percent believed that Western Europe would accept Iran having
nuclear power. People are not happy with the government foreign policy, with 60
percent opposing support of Hizbollah, 56 percent oppose support for Hamas, and
70 percent oppose the destruction of Israel. However, a third of the population
agreed with president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's contention that the World War II
German death camp program, that killed six million Jews, never
happened.
July 20, 2007: The government
is playing a shrewd information war strategy, by appealing to the least
educated. This involves severe censorship of the Internet inside Iran, with
over half the sites in the local language (Farsi) being blocked. On television,
in addition to the usual propaganda, there was a recent show that featured two
of five Americans recently arrested (and falsely charged as agents sent to
promote a popular revolution) "confessing" their sins. The two appear
to have been under a lot of pressure. Meanwhile, parents openly demonstrate to
complain that the police have arrested and tortured their university age
children.
July 19, 2007: The month long
American "surge" offensive in Iraq has resulted in dozens of terrorist
leaders and specialists being captured or killed. This has resulted in a
growing pile of evidence that these guys have a tight relationship with Iran,
where they received training, money and weapons. All this evidence has
generated growing calls from military people for the State Department to do
something, to at least call out the Iranians on this blatant interference in
Iraqi affairs, and how it puts American lives at risk.