December19, 2006:
On Friday, December 15th, Iranians went to the polls to elect new
local councils and a new Assembly of Experts. The local councils run
municipal services. They appoint mayors, and thus indirectly control local
government and budgets. This gives them a lot of clout, particularly in larger
cities, such as Teheran.
The
Assembly is technically the highest constitutional authority in Iran. Its
86-members have the power to select the country's supreme leader, the religious
official who is actually above the president and all other branches of
government. It was the Assembly that selected Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as supreme
leader, back in 1989.
As
it turns out, Khamenei, although a religious conservative, is a lot less
conservative that the President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, and probably a lot saner
as well. In office for only 18 months, Ahmadinejad has pushed an ultra-hard
line religious agenda, while making wildly belligerent statements, including
threats against Israel and the U.S., and has been pouring money into Hezbollah.
This has made him wildly popular with many of the poverty-stricken, religiously
conservative rural people of Iran. Perhaps too popular for the religious
leadership's tastes.
Ahmadinejad's
most recent antics include convening a "Holocaust Conference" where
anti-Semites, neo-Nazis, and other racists could parade their hate, and
allowing his religious purity to be tainted by watching women dancers during
the opening ceremonies of the Asia Games two weeks ago, The "Holocaust
Conference" has drawn world-wide scorn on Iran (though generally praise in
Moslem circles), while the dancing girls has laid him open to charges of
religious impurity.
The
current elections for the Assembly of Experts turned out to be a contest
between supporters of President Ahmadinejad, led by the fiercely conservative
Ayatollah Mohammad Taqi Mesbah-Yazdi, who has openly denounced democracy as
"un-Islamic," and those of former president Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, who,
although himself a senior cleric, has proven a much more careful and pragmatic
politician.
Under
Iran's constitution, Ayatollah Khamenei and the senior religious leadership
constitute the "Guardian Council," and have the power to vet candidates for all
elections. In anticipation of the current round of elections for the Assembly,
some 490 people entered their names as candidates. The Guardian Council
rejected about 240 of them. Another 110 dropped out for various reasons (e.g.,
compromises among tribal leaders, health, etc.). That left just 140 candidates
vying for 86 seats. Many of the rejected candidates were considered too
"liberal." But a number of Mesbah-Yazdi's supporters were also rejected,
perhaps suggesting the Guardian Council's displeasure with Ahmadinejad. In
addition, Ahmadinejad's supporters were unable to form a coalition with other
religious conservatives. Meanwhile, reformist elements and younger people -
including university students, some of whom publicly booed Ahmadinejad during a
speech recently - turnrf out in large numbers; they generally stayed home
during the presidential elections 18 months ago, which was a major reason for
Ahmadinejad's election
Election
results are still coming in, but early returns indicate that Ahmadinejad's
followers got clobbered, meaning that Iranians are indeed fed up with
Ahmadinejad's antics.