December 29,
2008: Osama bin Laden has had a $25
million price on his head since late 2001 (before that it was $5 million). With
that much money at stake, why hasn't someone ratted him out by now? The main
reason is that large cash rewards usually, but not always, work. Getting
someone to drop a dime (make a phone call) to turn someone in for a reward only
works if there are phones available.
Back in
1984, the United States began offering rewards of one to seven million dollars
for information leading to the capture of terrorists, and lesser amounts to
those who provided evidence against a terrorist or provided good information
about a planned terrorist act. The informer, and his family, were also offered
removal to a safe place (including the United States).
By September
11, 2001, five major terrorists had been captured because of this program. Over
$6 million was been paid out to in over 20 cases. Some 42 percent of the
informants requested security protection and another 42 percent sought
relocation for themselves and family members to another country or region to
avoid of retaliation.
Since then,
the number of high value people captured with this program has more than
doubled, and the amount of money paid out has increased even more. However, one
problem with the reward program is that it does not pay attention to the
realities of international terrorism. Most major terrorists, like Osama bin
Laden, are well protected and hidden. Sure, there are people who know where
they are, and can get in contact with people around the bad guy. But an
operation to nab one of these fellows requires a getting the message out to
those who have the information, and providing informants with a realistic way
to call in, and then collect.
Getting the
word out is not as easy as it sounds. The FBI has undertaken several
advertising campaigns in Pakistan, using matchbook covers, posters and other
media to remind people in the tribal territories that rewards of up to
twenty-five million dollars are being offered for prominent al Qaeda members.
In addition to the cash rewards, "relocation (to another country, for the
tipster and immediate family) is available". At least half a dozen al
Qaeda big shots have been caught this way, and rewards paid. This time around,
an American al Qaeda member (Adam Yahiye Gadahn), who often appears in English
language al Qaeda videos, is also sought. Gadahn has a million dollars on his
head. The proliferation of cell phone use in the tribal areas (on both sides of
the border) is expected to make it easier for tipsters to make contact.
Collecting
the reward is difficult. The wanted men are surrounded by bodyguards and aides.
They hide out in neighborhoods or villages full of people who share their
beliefs. There are also cultural problems. Most of the al Qaeda big shots who
have not yet been captured or killed are known to be (or believed to be) taking
refuge among pro-Taliban Pushtun tribes along the Afghan border. The people
there are generally poor, illiterate and not very well informed. Many have
never seen anyone outside their village or valley. Most of the people with
modern gadgets (like cell phones) are working for the terrorists. The people
with some education and wealth, like local tribal leaders, have to worry about
their large families. Anyone who turns in bin Laden would be marked for murder
if they suddenly displayed signs of wealth.
The fact is,
there are lots of spies in the tribal areas. Selling information to outsiders
has long been a recognized (if not entirely approved) way for a poor tribesman
to make some money, or earn some valuable favors. But getting stuff out is
difficult for these people, who have little privacy in their lives, and are constantly
under the control of family and tribal elders. You can't just walk out, either.
Wandering through the territory of another tribe or clan (as in the next valley
over), can get you killed. Strangers are seen as enemies, and treated
accordingly.
Meanwhile,
U.S. troops have learned to forget about the big payoffs, and concentrate on
the small ones. As U.S. Army Special Forces operators have long known (and
constantly teach the regular army troops they work with), little favors (that
won't be noticed by the Taliban enforcers) get you little bits of information.
These bits add up, and some have led to nailing whales (guys with big prices on
their heads). One of the more popular favors in the backcountry is medical
care. Out there, not much is to be had. For this reason, the two medics in each
Special Forces Alpha Detachment ("A-Team") have been taught to treat
common maladies encountered in poor, isolated, areas. An astute diagnoses, and
prompt application of some antibiotics can save the life of someone dear to the
heart of somebody else with information you need. Sometimes the troops will
bring a surgeon in, to perform a lifesaving (or life altering) procedure. This
yields much good will, and loosens tongues.
The big
thing about medical care is that it's not as visible as a pile of cash (which
usually results in something flashy being bought, and dangerous queries from
the local Taliban), but means a lot more than mere things. Pakistani or Afghan
doctors don't like travelling to the tribal territories. Too dangerous. Those
who can afford medical care, travel to a town or city that has it. But the U.S.
and NATO soldiers have access to drugs and medical care wherever they are.
Sharing it is often more valuable, or at least more practical, than a $25
million reward.